Credit Has Started to Confirm the Equity Warning
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ICE BofA High Yield OAS (FRED: BAMLH0A0HYM2) in basis points. Measures the extra yield junk bond issuers pay vs Treasuries. Spikes above 600 bps = credit market stress. Above 900 bps = systemic risk. Current level…
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RSP (Equal Weight S&P 500) vs SPY (Market Cap S&P 500) ratio. Rising = broad-based rally, healthy market. Falling while SPY rises = only mega-caps are holding up the index — classic fake rally signal. Divergence here…
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